5 Questions: Rob Vollman Talks Advanced Stats, Marian Hossa

An interview with Rob Vollman, who runs Hockey Abstract:

(…)

A lot of stats gurus are very high on the Blackhawks, and rightfully so. They’re a team that emphasizes possession heavily, and their defense is really good at suppressing shots. If you had to pick a team right now that’s the model of what a sabermetrics guru would design, would it be the Blackhawks, or would it be another team?

I would select whichever team was in the city where my interview was being published. :)

But seriously, yes, from top to bottom the Chicago Blackhawks are a great example of how a blind adherent to statistics would build a team. They’re an excellent and well-disciplined possession team with a roster full of players capable of taking on tough minutes. The only deviation is investing big money long-term in a goaltender who is not proven to be among the league’s elite.

There are a couple of players on the Blackhawks that I would like to focus on here, and one of them is Marian Hossa. When Hawks fans see him, they see a ton of goals and a willingness to backcheck aggressively. As a dispassionate observer, do you agree with that assessment, and what do the numbers tell you about his game?

Looking strictly at the numbers, a dispassionate statistician would currently describe Marian Hossa as an offensive-minded winger who remains strong (though non-physical) in his own end. He’s a highly consistent top-six scorer with a track record of success on the top power play unit and the second penalty kill. Best of all, his possession numbers are truly exceptional, even relative to his outstanding teammates.

What else? He’s well-disciplined, a proven post-season performer, and can even occasionally chip in on the shootout. The only real concern with Hossa is the inevitable decline that may soon affect the 35-year-old Slovakian.

Another player I’m interested to get your opinion on is Jonathan Toews. He won the Selke in 2013 as the league’s best defensive forward, but a lot of stats gurus tend to pick Patrice Bergeron or Anze Kopitar over Toews when it comes to defense. Do you think he’s overrated in that area?

Defensive play is notoriously difficult to achieve with analytics, which places Toews anywhere from great to elite, depending on an individual’s interpretation of the available data.

To me, Toews is an almost incomparably effective possession-based player, and easily one of the league’s top five faceoff men. That means his opponents simply don’t have the puck when he’s on the ice, and therefore don’t pose much of a threat. In fact, being such a strong scoring threat in his own right reduces opposition scoring that much more. Add it up, and Selke case can always be made for Toews. Does it even matter if a stronger one can sometimes be made for Bergeron?

(…)

Puppy Tazer at a BBQ

svmadelyn:

I can’t seem to add a “read more” break if I reblog off the original image, so.

image

smoulderandbraids: #where is the accompanying puppy tazer fic #look at that little face #and his little fluffy feet 

Ask and you shall receive, I guess - have some chatfic of puppy Tazer at a team BBQ.

Read More

toews-rage:

Rozsival, Oduya & Hjalmarsson keep the puck away from Toews after he falls to the ice. [x]

skyisgray:

"End of the Line" by egoscsajszy

This is one of my go-to videos when I need writing inspiration.  It’s absolutely beautiful.  

buttonsnbobbin:

glameoweatsyourface:

souperball:

Then finish it, cuz i’m with you til the end of the line. 

That’s the most accurate Captain America cosplay I’ve ever seen.

oh my dog

buttonsnbobbin:

glameoweatsyourface:

souperball:

Then finish it, cuz i’m with you til the end of the line. 

That’s the most accurate Captain America cosplay I’ve ever seen.

oh my dog

(via skyisgray)

peppersheart:

pk and prusty disturb the peace with their argument about who’s better looking (x)

I had not seen this before, but wow, PK and Prusty. Watch the video - the entire scene from 10:43 on is fucking gold. 

(Source: crosbye)

9/21/14 Training Camp scrimmage: *score* *shrug* [X]

hossprey:

niklas hjalmarsson takes some time to proudly identify the song of his people x

(via kneesntoews)

What the heck is the name of the song? Do I have to name the name of the song? [x]

Good goal, Tazer.

(Source: eternityinalake)

smoulderandbraids replied to your photoset “9/19/14: Patrick Kane on Training Camp Day 2 [X]”

i don’t think it’s you! they look fine and the actual video itself looked a little wonky, so.

Oh man, thanks! T_T It’s super hard to tell (and even harder to adjust things properly) when half the GIFs on my blog currently look to me as though the subjects are well on their way to shuffling forward with their arms outstretched chanting “BRAAAAAAAINS!”

svmadelyn replied to your photoset “9/19/14: Patrick Kane on Training Camp Day 2 [X]”

Hmm. There’s a weird sheen to his face that I don’t normally see in your gifsets, but I don’t find it problematic? Then again, it’s KANER so I am not the most uh, reliable/unbiased.

Oohh, the opacity of the fill layer at the top is a little lower than I usually use, so that might be it? Also, lighting in Trib videos is usually a bit troublesome. Argh. HOW DO YOU FIX THINGS YOU CAN’T SEE.

Either way, thanks for commenting!  ♥

9/19/14: Patrick Kane on Training Camp Day 2 [X]
9/18/14: Hawks at training camp health assessment [X]
9/18/14: Patrick Kane preps for training camp [X]

who needs handrails when you have brandon bollig’s ass in front of you?
who needs handrails when you have brandon bollig’s ass in front of you?

simple-country:

Winter Soldier Weapons
 Colt M4A1 Rifle M203 Grenade Launcher & EOtech XPS
 Vz.61 Skorpion
 Mk13 Grenade Launcher (not exist in RL)
 COP.357 Derringer
 Intratec TEC-38 
 SIG-Sauer P226R 
 40mm Grenade
 Milkor MGL Mk 1L
 Gerber Yari ll Tanto
 Benchmade SOCP 176BK
 Gerber Mark ll (Sheath:G.I. TANTO W/SECURE-EX SHEATH)
 Barrett M82M1

(via waxjism)